Terror Alert
Intelligence gathered and analyzed point to a possibility of an attack on heads of Kenya internal security system/Institution.
Events such as gunning down of security officials in areas where these militants operate signal a shift in ideology of targets.
Playing down of their capacity besides degrading the impact of their achievements by security chiefs will factor possibility ratio.
The psychology of terror capacitance is retaliatory actions targeted at aggressors leadership or areas of influence.
This report is generated after a comprehensive gathering of relevant information, critical analysis of the information/intelligence, fixing parts of the terrorist operations matrix to a complete threat matrix,(dependent on previous IMINT and OSINT intel sources) hence a pattern projecting possibility of similar actions in Kenya.
Possible Human targets would be top police official and administrators.
Possible target areas would be Wajir, Garissa, Mombasa, Nairobi.
Other areas with geography that favors speed and safe escape of a small unit are also targets.
Level of threat is medium
Tuesday, July 3, 2012
Monday, July 2, 2012
Report on Boko-Haram and Yemeni-Al-Qaeda in Al-Shabaab Ranks
Strategic Intelligence News (http://intelligencebriefs.com/?p=2513)
Al-Shabaab Gets Yemeni Al-Qaeda and Boko-Haram Help
June 14 | Posted by David Goldman | Intelligence News, Military Intelligence
Al-Shabaab has bolstered its capacity by bringing in Boko-Haram
bomb making experts and commando trainers to up its degraded capability
in both guerrilla and bombing operations.
Al-Shabaab has also enlisted the help of Yemeni-Al-Qaeda operatives to provide training on IED’s and suicide missions.
Intelligence reports confirm that the militants are getting too much ground to regroup and plan counter measures in South, Middle, and Eastern Somalia.
Strategic Intelligence warns that there will be increased attacks on military personnel operating in Somalia as newly recruited and daring Al-Shabaab recruits and militancy graduates engage in these special operations.
Al-Shabaab will resurge in the coming weeks and months in a spirited attempt to preempt the peace efforts by AMISOM.
Kenya Defense Forces (KDF), will face a series of hit and runs-guerrilla attacks by units of Al-Shabaab guerillas. These guerrillas will use sniper fire, and bombings to inflict causality on the troops.
Al-Shabaab got a boost when at least 20 experts from different countries including Yemeni and Nigeria came to offer support.
Training and recruiting new troops is primary at this stage when the militant group is nearly defeated. They want more troops to deploy.
There has been a decline in their bombings in Mogadishu and other areas. This is due to lack of capacity in these departments and they are outsourcing.
Boko Haram are very good in bombings. They have wreaked havoc in Nigeria in the recent past and their success rate is very credible.
Yemeni Al-Qaeda is very successful in commando attacks, suicide bombings, and hit and runs. They will share this expertise with Al-Shabaab.
The training and deployment is a rapid program to facilitate faster procurement of desired results in both Somalia and Kenya.
Kenya and Somalia will be targets with Somalia being a good target for suicide bombers and guerrillas and Kenya a target of Suicide bombers and a major terrorist attack.
Al-Shabaab has also enlisted the help of Yemeni-Al-Qaeda operatives to provide training on IED’s and suicide missions.
Intelligence reports confirm that the militants are getting too much ground to regroup and plan counter measures in South, Middle, and Eastern Somalia.
Strategic Intelligence warns that there will be increased attacks on military personnel operating in Somalia as newly recruited and daring Al-Shabaab recruits and militancy graduates engage in these special operations.
Al-Shabaab will resurge in the coming weeks and months in a spirited attempt to preempt the peace efforts by AMISOM.
Kenya Defense Forces (KDF), will face a series of hit and runs-guerrilla attacks by units of Al-Shabaab guerillas. These guerrillas will use sniper fire, and bombings to inflict causality on the troops.
Al-Shabaab got a boost when at least 20 experts from different countries including Yemeni and Nigeria came to offer support.
Training and recruiting new troops is primary at this stage when the militant group is nearly defeated. They want more troops to deploy.
There has been a decline in their bombings in Mogadishu and other areas. This is due to lack of capacity in these departments and they are outsourcing.
Boko Haram are very good in bombings. They have wreaked havoc in Nigeria in the recent past and their success rate is very credible.
Yemeni Al-Qaeda is very successful in commando attacks, suicide bombings, and hit and runs. They will share this expertise with Al-Shabaab.
The training and deployment is a rapid program to facilitate faster procurement of desired results in both Somalia and Kenya.
Kenya and Somalia will be targets with Somalia being a good target for suicide bombers and guerrillas and Kenya a target of Suicide bombers and a major terrorist attack.
Al-Shabaab Was Behind Garissa Attack Under Guidance by Foreign Militants, Possibly Boko-Haram
Anti-terrorism police reports on Garissa attack, refutes Al-Shabaab involvement. They blame locals, besides pointing out religious war (Muslims against Christians).
This not only insults the relatively good peace between the two religions, rather stokes embers on non-exitent ancient (16th Century Mongolian barbarianism) civilization behaviors.
We reported in June the outsourcing of Boko-Haram militants by Al-Shabaab.
Boko-Haram burns churches in Nigeria.
Boko-Haram operatives/militants wear masks when carrying out terrorists activities against Christians.
The terrorists who attacked the two churches in Garissa wore masks.
We coherently reported use of small units with specialized/well trained foreign mercenary to attack targets in the Country.
They will use guns and grenades to accomplish their tasks.
The similarity of the actions and the previous intelligence reports on Boko-Haram elements supporting Al-Shabaab shapes the face of the new terrorist plans and objectives.
The terrorists will use ethno-religious conflict to bring Kenyans to pay for invading Somalia.
Kenya has not reported ethno-religious animosity in decades and the existence of such a threat remains a low level threat to national security.
There has never been reports of Muslim/Extremist Islamic militants operating independently in Kenya seeking extremist Islamic establishments/goals such as persecution of Christians and destruction of their churches.
The policy deployed by Al-Shabaab is to use proxy wars,symbolic events, and ambushes to neutralize security.
End of Report
Strategic Intelligence News
Global Report
Contact us at djames@intelligencebriefs.com
Somali Independece Day, Catalyst to Al-Shabaab Garissa Attack
Intelligence analysis on terrorist planning, objectives, and patterns in their actions provide insight on what motivated the Garissa church attacks in Kenya by the Al-Qaeda affiliated Al-Shabaab.
Strategic Intelligence critically analyzed past actions of terrorists, including their dates, time, and relatively important times of the year to identify collation with aspects of the Garissa attack.
Terrorists actions and motivations are drawn from 'Freedom/independence from bondage or invasions and Kenya's KDF entry to Somalia to rout the militants links the 1st July Somali independence day with a jihad to gain freedom from Christian invasion (propaganda coined by the Al-Shabaab militants).
Al-Shabaab wanted a symbolic event to coincide with a similar one and their success in either would be embedded in the short-term history.
Objectives of such attacks is to inspire unity of purpose; terrorists use such success to rally unity and win sympathy from their follower.
The success levels of such an attack reposes confidence on the following besides weakening the perceived enemy's faith and purpose.
Al-Shabaab will continue to use such tactics to degrade the Kenya army's success against their reign in Somalia for a period.
Strategic Intelligence News
Global Security Report
Contact us at djames@intelligencebriefs.com
Strategic Intelligence critically analyzed past actions of terrorists, including their dates, time, and relatively important times of the year to identify collation with aspects of the Garissa attack.
Terrorists actions and motivations are drawn from 'Freedom/independence from bondage or invasions and Kenya's KDF entry to Somalia to rout the militants links the 1st July Somali independence day with a jihad to gain freedom from Christian invasion (propaganda coined by the Al-Shabaab militants).
Al-Shabaab wanted a symbolic event to coincide with a similar one and their success in either would be embedded in the short-term history.
Objectives of such attacks is to inspire unity of purpose; terrorists use such success to rally unity and win sympathy from their follower.
The success levels of such an attack reposes confidence on the following besides weakening the perceived enemy's faith and purpose.
Al-Shabaab will continue to use such tactics to degrade the Kenya army's success against their reign in Somalia for a period.
Strategic Intelligence News
Global Security Report
Contact us at djames@intelligencebriefs.com
Saturday, June 2, 2012
Birta Dheer Retreat and Camp at Birta Dheer Near Kismayo and Afmadow
Ahmed Khalid Mueller Al-Shabaab Terrorist in Uganda
Intelligence news reports
Ahmed Khalid Mueller Al-Shabaab Operative Sneaks to Uganda
Uganda police on high alert
Manhunt underwayIntelligence News
Ahmed Khalid Mueller Al-Shabaab Operative Sneaks to Uganda
Uganda police on high alert
Manhunt underwayIntelligence News
Friday, June 1, 2012
Intelligence News on Strategic
Strategic Intelligence News is excelling in publishing and distributing real-time intelligence leads besides providing free intelligence news analysis to intelligence organizations.
Intelligence news by Strategic is a free online resources and a reputed intelligence news provider quite popular in Kenya.
Intelligence news are shaping early warning systems used by state intelligence organs to predict and provide counter intelligence measures.
Intelligence News can be read at Intelligence News
Intelligence news by Strategic is a free online resources and a reputed intelligence news provider quite popular in Kenya.
Intelligence news are shaping early warning systems used by state intelligence organs to predict and provide counter intelligence measures.
Intelligence News can be read at Intelligence News
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